2022 RULES: LTC / 5th Year Option
Posted: Mon Mar 21, 2022 1:49 am
With the NFL salary cap (and ours here also) expanding, perhaps it's not such an issue this year, but seems in the past that we had some problems with retaining quality draft picks when picking up the 5th year option and then signing to a LTC the year afterward with all the salary increase requirements for those adding up. Most successful first round draft picks in the NFL, I think, may have their 5th year picked up, but both sides working toward long-term deals before or hopefully not long after that if the player is a good one.
For most former first rounders, we even put language on there now that it probably makes sense not to pick up the 5th year option for most players because of the big increase if you want to LTC later since that also requires another big raise.
The 5th year option price in the NFL is complicated and higher priced for various performance levels. We simplify it to 66% of the transition tag across the board.
With limited LTCs per year for us, many teams will use their LTCs elsewhere and just pick up 5th year options for eligible past first round picks playing well. Then the next off-season perhaps use an LTC on them before they hit free agency. So it's a big jump in pay for 5th year option and then next year at least a 20% raise (LTC minimum) if not more depending upon grade and other salaries in the league.
I think we have a couple of options to look at quickly before we turn 5th year and LTC options on this season.
- Leave everything as is. Salary cap increases more this season so plenty of cash and both 5th year and LTC have some existing logic that makes sense.
- Adjust LTC but leave 5th year as is (as 66% of transition tag prices seem like it's in the ballpark or lower for most - https://overthecap.com/fifth-year-option-projections/ ). A raise required still for LTCs in general, but don't require quite as high as a 20% raise but instead lower that to LTC has to be at least a 10% raise for player to accept at minimum. So becomes easier for 5th year to be picked up and LTC'd the next year reasonably, and also perhaps makes LTCs more reasonable with lower minimums given that we add on signing bonuses, etc. to the average prices. We used 20% in the past because franchise tag values included needing a 20% raise, but that's the only reason we had it that high and not as applicable arguably for general LTCs for all players versus elite franchise tag level players in the highest demand. We'll probably make some other LTC adjustments (like more options for rip up contract or add to end of existing one).
- Leave LTC as is generally, but lower 5th year option prices.
- Allow teams to have LTC options for longer extensions when picking up the 5th year option based upon the 5th year price (66% of transition tag) at a minimum but if higher graded at a higher price similar to normal LTC value around similar graded players. For teams with a lot of former first rounders (which we have here more than reality with some teams having a handful of first rounders sometimes), this increases the number of LTCs essentially for them, but really only useful for the best players at the higher prices. We already do this for franchise tags, letting teams either do the 1-year tag or extend it into LTC options. This kind of replicates the complicated NFL 5th year option prices if we have it give higher graded players a higher price at extended contract, and mirrors that NFL teams for the most part are looking to extend players worthy of being picked up for the option year beyond that.
Comment if other thoughts. Thanks!
For most former first rounders, we even put language on there now that it probably makes sense not to pick up the 5th year option for most players because of the big increase if you want to LTC later since that also requires another big raise.
The 5th year option price in the NFL is complicated and higher priced for various performance levels. We simplify it to 66% of the transition tag across the board.
With limited LTCs per year for us, many teams will use their LTCs elsewhere and just pick up 5th year options for eligible past first round picks playing well. Then the next off-season perhaps use an LTC on them before they hit free agency. So it's a big jump in pay for 5th year option and then next year at least a 20% raise (LTC minimum) if not more depending upon grade and other salaries in the league.
I think we have a couple of options to look at quickly before we turn 5th year and LTC options on this season.
- Leave everything as is. Salary cap increases more this season so plenty of cash and both 5th year and LTC have some existing logic that makes sense.
- Adjust LTC but leave 5th year as is (as 66% of transition tag prices seem like it's in the ballpark or lower for most - https://overthecap.com/fifth-year-option-projections/ ). A raise required still for LTCs in general, but don't require quite as high as a 20% raise but instead lower that to LTC has to be at least a 10% raise for player to accept at minimum. So becomes easier for 5th year to be picked up and LTC'd the next year reasonably, and also perhaps makes LTCs more reasonable with lower minimums given that we add on signing bonuses, etc. to the average prices. We used 20% in the past because franchise tag values included needing a 20% raise, but that's the only reason we had it that high and not as applicable arguably for general LTCs for all players versus elite franchise tag level players in the highest demand. We'll probably make some other LTC adjustments (like more options for rip up contract or add to end of existing one).
- Leave LTC as is generally, but lower 5th year option prices.
- Allow teams to have LTC options for longer extensions when picking up the 5th year option based upon the 5th year price (66% of transition tag) at a minimum but if higher graded at a higher price similar to normal LTC value around similar graded players. For teams with a lot of former first rounders (which we have here more than reality with some teams having a handful of first rounders sometimes), this increases the number of LTCs essentially for them, but really only useful for the best players at the higher prices. We already do this for franchise tags, letting teams either do the 1-year tag or extend it into LTC options. This kind of replicates the complicated NFL 5th year option prices if we have it give higher graded players a higher price at extended contract, and mirrors that NFL teams for the most part are looking to extend players worthy of being picked up for the option year beyond that.
Comment if other thoughts. Thanks!